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The Quest for 18 Begins

The Boston Celtics’ first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs begins in about a minute. They must contend with their playoff rival, the Miami Heat, who defeated them last year in the Eastern Conference Finals and forced them to trade away the heart of their team, Marcus Smart, to make a major upgrade in their interior.

This season’s Celtics team is among the best the franchise has ever had. They won 71.8% of their games, putting them fifth overall in the franchise’s storied history. Only one of those teams, the ’72-’73 team (which has the highest winning percentage in the team’s history, by the way), did not win a championship (they lost in the ECF to the Knicks, who went on to defeat the Lakers in five games).

This season’s Celtics also have the best record in the NBA, ensuring home-court advantage all the way through the Finals (should they make it).

To say expectations are high in Boston would be an understatement.

But there are also doubts. While it’s true the Celtics only lost 18 games this season (two of those losses came after they clinched the #1 seed and took their foot off the pedal), they lost to teams they may face in the playoffs:

  • Denver Nuggets (0-2)
  • Milwaukee Bucks (2-2)
  • Indiana Pacers (3-2)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder (1-1)
  • Los Angeles Lakers (1-1)
  • Los Angeles Clippers (1-1)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves (1-1)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers (2-1)
  • New York Knicks (3-1)
  • Philadelphia Seventy-Sixers (3-1)

Of course, many of those teams are facing each other in the first round, so the only team the Celtics have to worry about right now is the Miami Heat, whom the Celts defeated all three times they met this season.

Additionally, they’ll be without their superstar (and Celtics nemesis) Jimmy Butler, who will be out for several weeks with an MCL injury. They’ll also be without former Celtic “Scary” Tery Rozier, who is “week to week” with a neck injury and will miss at least Game 1.

But if there’s one thing I learned from watching Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown play basketball together these past several years, it’s that they both know how to play flat when it counts.

Here’s a reminder. Game 7 of last season’s Eastern Conference Finals against the Miami Heat in Boston, when Brown committed eight turnovers and went 1-9 from 3PT range:

Thankfully, Brown has improved his handles this season, especially with his left hand (which got uber-exposed last season). He decreased his turnovers from 197 last season to 168 this season, reducing his average per 36 minutes to 2.55 turnovers (for comparison’s sake, Lebron James averaged 3.52 turnovers per 36 minutes).

Unfortunately, the trend is going the other way when it comes to Jayson Tatum in clutch time. According to ClutchPoints.com, Tatum is ranked “dead last among 25 players with a minimum of 45 field goal attempts in clutch situations.”

Over the past three seasons, in fact, his clutch shooting has gotten downright abysmal. He’s gone from shooting 75% in his rookie season to shooting 26.9% when the shot is crucial to the outcome (the clutch squared stat below, which measures shooting percentage when the shot is the top 1% in potential win probability impact):

Hopefully, clutch shooting won’t matter in the first round when all signs point to a Celtics sweep (based on the current odds of Game 1, if a person bets $10 on the Celtics to win, they’ll only net 83¢ in winnings). But we’re gonna need some clutch shooting if we face Denver, Oklahoma City, the Pacers, or the Knicks.

And then there’s our coach.

While head coach Joe Mazzulla won two Coach of the Month awards this season and one last season (becoming only the seventh head coach in NBA history to earn at least three Coach of the Month awards in their first two seasons with a team) and was a finalist for the Coach of the Year last season, his youth, relative inexperience, and apparent arrogance (e.g., he sticks with his game plan even when it’s not working) make him perhaps the weakest link in the entire organization.

He has demonstrated time and again that he can’t compete with high-quality coaches. The Celtics outgun the Heat at every position and all down the bench, but if these games somehow come down to the wire, I have zero faith in Brown’s ball handling, Tatum’s clutch shooting, or Mazzulla’s ability to outcoach Miami’s tried and tested multi-championship winning coach, Erik Spoelstra.

Then again, the Celtics are the winningest team in the NBA. They’ve locked down home-court advantage and only lost four games at home all season.

With all my doubts, the reality is that if the Celtics are going to win their 18th banner anytime soon, they’re going to win it this season.

Go Celtics!

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asides

The Beast in the East

The Boston Celtics have clinched the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference with 11 games remaining on their regular season schedule. Boston’s 57-14 record has been enough to secure the feat with an 11 game cushion over the Milwaukee Bucks, who are still fighting to secure the second seed with the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Joe Mazzulla’s team is also in the driving seat to secure the best record in the NBA. As such, they should have a home-court advantage if they make it to the NBA Finals

— “Celtics clinch #1 seed with eleven games remaining,” CelticsBlog
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This team is playing Celtics basketball the way it is supposed to be played

From This team is playing Celtics basketball the way it is supposed to be played:

It’s not just that these Celtics are really, really good. They’re an absolute joy to watch, an aesthetic godsend. They’re reveling in sharing the basketball. They’re wearing out the bottom of the nets with their shooting. No matter who is on the court under what circumstances, they are playing complementary basketball in the spirit of Celtics Big Threes both original and sequel.

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reviews

Waiting on the Celtics

Next weekend, the New England Patriots will play in the Super Bowl for the ninth time in eighteen years, competing for their sixth Vince Lombardi Trophy in just as many years.

During that same time period, the Boston Red Sox won four Commissioner’s Trophies, the Boston Bruins won one Stanley Cup, and the Boston Celtics won one Larry O’Brian Championship Trophy. It’s been a fantastic run for the region, and no one wants it to be over.

Which is why, this year, many hope the Celtics can raise one more championship banner over the legendary parquet floor.

When Lebron James left the Cleveland Cavaliers for a team in the Western Conference during the offseason, Boston’s path to the Eastern Conference Championship seemed clear. Winning wouldn’t be easy, thanks to highly competitive teams coming out of Milwaukee, Toronto, and Philadelphia, but the strength of the Celtics’ lineup seemed to outweigh their competitors’, and fans felt justifiably confident going into the start of the season.

It’s now 48 games later; the season is slightly more than half over. With 30 wins and 18 losses, the Celtics rank as the fifth-best/tenth-worst team in the conference, and fans feel justifiably concerned going into the back half of the season.

No one quite knows why the Celtics have underwhelmed. Among the many possibilities are the leadership skills (or possibly the lack thereof) of Kyrie Irving, who is unquestionably the team’s most dominant player. The team has also been bedeviled by the slower-than-hoped-for recovery of Gordon Hayward, who missed the entire 2017-2018 season due to a gruesome leg injury, and an injury to Al Horford, who sat for 10 games and is only now returning to full strength. The team’s two younger stars, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, have seen their values drop as well, with neither of them living up to expectations set by their performances last year.

No one quite knows why Coach Brad Stevens can’t get his players to perform at the highest possible level of their potential, but he hasn’t and they aren’t, so the team is fifth in their conference.

The lineup still gives Celtics fans confidence, however. Kyrie Irving has proven that he can score almost at will. Marcus Smart, always among the strongest defenders on the court, has become a more consistent offensive threat, and Marcus Morris, Jr., has grown into a downright deadly three-point shooter who deserves a spot in the Three-Point Contest during the All-Star Weekend. Despite not doing it as often as fans had expected, Hayward, Tatum, and Brown are still capable of scoring 20+ points on any given night, and Terry Rozier, one of last year’s breakout players, given enough freedom and minutes, can still explode for an eye-popping series of plays, both offensively and defensively, and that explosion can take place at almost any particular moment. Despite injuries, Aaron Baynes is still having his best season on the court, and rookie bench riders such as Brad Wannamaker, Robert Williams, and Semi Ojeleye usually bring more to the court than they take off.

Because of the strength of their lineup, there’s still no rational reason to doubt the ability of the Boston Celtics to defeat their Eastern Conference competitors in the playoffs.

Of course, the Eastern Conference is drastically weaker than the Western Conference, and few fans suggest the current lineup will raise the Celtics’ seventeenth championship banner at the end of this season. But that doesn’t prevent this highly qualified team of basketball players from stepping onto the court and giving it a shot.

The Red Sox won their ninth championship in October. The Patriots might win their sixth championship next weekend. Half of the Celtics’ season might be over, but there’s still time for the team to get it together and bring home their seventeenth trophy.

But first, they’ll have to become better than the tenth worst team in the league’s weakest conference.

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reviews

Did Jaylen Brown Earn a Tommy Point With His Final Dunk?

Basketball, of all the sports, seems to me to have the most flow. It can be — and in my opinion, should be — back and forth, not always moving fast, sometimes real choppy and physical, while allowing, just once in a while, for a build up of energy so intense that it has no choice but to explode.

The players I love to watch are the ones who know how to stay present, the ones who refuse to surrender to the flow but also know when to go with it, the players who can keep their head above water, spot the channels, and know when to break.

Some people love to watch this happen on offense. They love to see the drive, the pass, the shot. I love to see it on defense: the deflected pass, the block, the steal, the taken charge, the fast and sneaky rebound, and the turn up the floor into transition.

I like players like Marcus Smart and Aron Baynes, and all the other guys who’ve ever earned themselves a Tommy Point.

That’s part of the reason I like these guys: because Tommy Heinsohn, a former Celtic player and a longtime local Celtic announcer, taught me to. I’ve been listening to Tommy for almost my entire life, and while he might be the biggest homer in basketball-announcing history, he also knows the game, and he heroizes the unsung effort above all else. Every night, he calls the audience’s attention to those moments in professional basketball when a player reveals his heart by rising above and beyond any reasonable expectation to instead reach for the greatness of the moment with no thought as to the accolades involved.

It’s Marcus Smart playing defense on Lebron James and forcing one of the greatest players in the history of the game to give all his effort every time he touches the ball. It’s Aron Baynes catching a deflected rebound in the middle of the paint and being so focused on the act of catching the ball that, now that he has it, he has no idea what to do with it.

But I wonder if it’s Jaylen Brown refusing to leave the Cleveland floor at the end of the game without first slamming the game ball through that god-damned hoop in an act of childish anger but also an act of defiance, an act of rejection, a willful and spiteful act that said “Fuck you!” to everyone and everything but mostly…the moment: the losing end of a hard-fought game.

Is that worth a Tommy Point?

Or is it worth our condemnation?

The ethics of sportsmanship suggest the latter. The Cleveland Cavaliers were perfectly willing to run out the clock, and most of the Celtics were ready to as well; but Tatum and Brown didn’t notice, and when Brown finally did notice, when he looked around and saw that all of his teammates and all of his opponents were just standing around, he got pissed, because he was still ready to fight.

Brown is young — twenty-one years old — and he just ran up and down the court with men in their late twenties and thirties. Those aging men might be willing to accept the clock, but a young guy like Brown, after 48 minutes of playoff basketball, he’s still ready to go, and now, having looked up, he’s the last to realize the game is over. That realization brings with it the painful knowledge that his team has finally lost.

His decision to slam the ball through the hoop after everyone else has given up is a warrior’s way of screaming, “FUUUUUUUUUUUCK!”

The problem is that Brown was standing on a basketball court with nine other guys, professional men who have long recognized that a professional man doesn’t act like that.

So is Brown’s dunk worth a Tommy Point? Does a Tommy Point also recognize self-discipline, or does it solely recognize the blend of talent and instinct, the ability to make one’s effort create one’s moment-to-moment reality?

I lean toward the latter. There is a place in basketball for sportsmanship, and it ought to be recognized as adamantly as Tommy recognizes effort, but a Tommy Point is not a sportsmanship award.

Jaylen Brown, in slamming the ball through an undefended hoop with near-on-zero seconds left, did not act like a sportsman. He violated the norms of the end game, which calls for the players to gracefully pass the last 40 seconds or so if the lead is insurmountable, each team dribbling out the 24 second clock and denying themselves the opportunity to make a shot.

Everyone else on the floor had acknowledged that norm, but Brown refused. He put the ball to the floor and went full speed towards the Cleveland basket, bypassing any defender who happened to react by default, stepping around them, rising up, and slamming the ball through the net with all of his athletic power and might, while everyone else, nine professional men, stood around watching: Look at the young boy go.

Is that worth a Tommy Point?

I don’t know. It demonstrated attitude, effort, and heart, but it was also too little and too late.

I like Jaylen Brown, and I appreciated how hard he played during that game. He got outplayed at instances, and he got ahead of himself at others, but he gave the game his all the entire time he was on the floor.

His final dunk was the culmination of that. He wasn’t done fighting, but he also hadn’t fought enough, and now the clock was telling him he had to leave the floor a loser; his slamming the ball through the hoop signaled his refusal to.

And that, my friends, ought to be worth a Tommy Point.